Google Ads Journey Aware Bidding: The next bid strategy for lead generation?

By: Jyll Saskin Gales, Google Ads Coach

Is it possible that the way you bid on Google Ads is about to get a major upgrade? For a while now, sophisticated lead generation advertisers have been using a clever approach called value-based bidding. This method assigns different values to different types of leads, which helps your campaigns focus on finding the most promising ones. But what if Google Ads could go even further, looking at the entire customer journey, not just the initial lead?

Google recently announced a new concept called "Journey Aware Bidding" at its Think Leads 2025 event. While it’s still in the early pilot phase, this development signals a shift toward a more holistic approach to bidding for leads. Instead of using arbitrary values, this new technology would potentially be aware of and responsive to the entire path a customer takes. If you’re a small business owner, a marketing manager, or anyone who runs lead gen campaigns on Google Ads, this could change how you approach your strategy.

Here’s what you can expect to learn in this article:

• How the current system of value-based bidding works for lead generation

• The two main methods you can use to assign values to your leads

• How Journey Aware Bidding might be the next evolution of this bidding strategy, and what Google's Ginny Marvin has to say

• How to set up your current campaigns to make the most of what's available now, and be ready for future innovations

How Value-Based Bidding Works for Lead Gen

Think of value-based bidding as a way to give your Google Ads campaigns a set of priorities. Instead of simply telling Google Ads to "get as many conversions as possible," you're giving it more specific instructions: "get me the conversions that are worth the most." This approach moves beyond just counting conversions and instead focuses on maximizing your return on ad spend (ROAS). By optimizing for conversion value, you guide your campaigns to prioritize the leads that are most likely to become paying customers, helping you get a better return for every dollar you spend.

Assigning Values to Your Leads

The key to a successful value-based bidding strategy is assigning accurate values to your leads. There are two primary ways to do this:

1. The Scoring System: This is a straightforward method where you create a scoring system based on the quality of a lead. For example, a basic lead that simply filled out a contact form might be given a value of 10. A marketing-qualified lead (MQL) who downloaded a case study and spent time on your site might get a value of 50. Finally, a sales-qualified lead (SQL) that has been vetted by your sales team might be given a value of 500. You can adjust these values based on your own sales process and how often each type of lead becomes a customer.

2. The Revenue-Based Approach: This method is a bit more precise and ties the lead value directly to your business's revenue. Here, you use your actual sales data to determine the value of a lead. Let's say your average order value is $1,000, and you know that, on average, 10% of your leads become paying customers. In this scenario, you could assign a value of $100 to each new lead. When a lead successfully converts into a customer, you can then update their conversion value to the full amount of the sale, which in this case would be $1,000. This provides Google with more accurate data to inform its bidding decisions over time.

Connecting Your CRM to Google Ads with Offline Conversion Tracking

To make either of these approaches work effectively, you need a way to connect the information from your sales process back to your Google Ads account. This is done through a process called offline conversion tracking. Your customer relationship management (CRM) system holds all the crucial data about your leads; their journey, their interactions, and their final value. By connecting your CRM to Google Ads, you can feed that information back into your campaigns. This allows Google to see not just that a conversion happened, but what its actual value was.

For this system to work well, you need enough data for Google to learn from. Google suggests having at least 15 conversions in 30 days to use value-based bidding, but in practice, you’ll likely need more to see truly optimal performance. Aiming for at least 30 conversions in a 30-day period, or even 90 or more, can give the system the information it needs to make smarter decisions about which users to target and how much to bid for them.

What’s Next: Journey Aware Bidding

Value-based bidding is powerful, but it's still based on the values you assign at specific points in the customer journey. Now, imagine a system that can see and understand the entire journey. This is the anticipated vision behind Google's Journey Aware Bidding.

This concept isn’t entirely new to some in the industry. Ezra Sackett, the Director of Paid Search at Monks, noted on LinkedIn that he first heard about a similar idea back in January of 2025. "I first heard hints of this in January of 2025 when a product lead was talking about something he called: Funnel Aware Conversion Transitioning (FACT). I hadn't heard any more about this until your post today, but from your description it sounds like the same idea," Sackett shared.

While details are still under wraps, the idea is that this new technology would be able to analyze the whole path - from the initial click to the final purchase - and use that complete picture to inform its bidding decisions. This is different from the current system where you manually assign a value to a lead. Journey Aware Bidding would be able to process a wider range of signals and data points throughout the funnel.

This could potentially make it more precise and efficient at finding the most valuable customers, not just the most valuable leads. This is a very early stage pilot, as Ginny Marvin, Google's Ads Product Liaison, confirmed when she said, "Glad to hear the interest in this vision. It's very early days for this pilot and we'll have more to share in the coming months."

This evolution goes hand-in-hand with recent updates that allow you to classify conversions according to different stages, such as leads, marketing-qualified leads (MQLs), and customers. This segmentation provides the perfect framework for a bidding system that is aware of the full journey.

If you’re already using value-based bidding and offline conversion tracking, you’re in a great position. You’re already providing Google with the kind of high-quality data that a journey-aware system would thrive on. By continuing to refine your current strategies, you'll be well-prepared for whatever innovations come next.